COVID Update 12/3

Dec 03, 2020 at 01:34 pm by Staff


Numbers of confirmed cases continue to be high in the wake of Thanksgiving celebrations and numbers of available ICU beds across the state continue to be low with approximately 174 of 2,051 ICU beds (8%) available statewide as of yesterday afternoon. Statewide floor bed capacity is a little better at 1,455 open beds out of 11,490 (13%). Both numbers are slightly better than Nashville, which currently has 6% ICU and 12% floor beds available.

Deaths, a lagging indicator, set a grim new record today as the state hit its highest one-day total of lives lost to COVID at 93. With nearly a 20% positive rate on tests today, concerns continue to mount that hospitalizations and deaths will increase over the coming weeks.


Metro Nashville

As of 9:30 today, the city reported 48,492 confirmed cases, an increase of 810 since yesterday. There are currently 3,164 active cases in Nashville, 44,954 inactive or recovered cases and 440 active hospitalizations. With 374 deaths (up 2 since yesterday), the city has a case fatality rate of 0.77%. In Davidson County, 668,292 tests have been administered with an overall positive rate of 8.7% (and a 7-day testing percent positive of 11.5%).

Out of 8 metrics on the trend lines, Nashville has 2 in the green, 2 in the yellow and 4 in the red - transmission rate, 14-day new case trend, ICU bed capacity, and new cases per 100,000 residents. With a goal for transmission to be less than 1.00, the city's current transmission rate of 1.20, keeping the city in the red. The 14-day case trend is in the red with new cases rising. Public health and testing capacity remain in the green, as they have throughout.

As of 9:30 am this morning, hospital floor bed capacity remained in the yellow but has dropped to 11% availability (down from 18% yesterday on Tuesday and 12% on Wednesday), and ICU beds remain in the red with current availability at 6% capacity. The goal for both hospital and ICU bed capacity is 20%.

The New Cases per 100K Residents has remained in the red for the last few weeks. The goal of the seven-day rolling average is to be less than 10. Currently, Nashville sits at 68.9 as of 9:30 am this morning. The goal for the 7-Day Positivity Rate is to see a figure at 10% or less. Currently, Nashville remains in the yellow with a rate of 11.5%.

More detailed data is available on the Metro Dashboard. Click here for details.

Nashville remains in Phase 3 of COVID Reopening with new restrictions having been put in place last week. The city also continues its mask mandate, with several nearby counties having reinstated similar mandates after letting them expire earlier. Governor Bill Lee extended the Tennessee State of Emergency tied to COVID-19 through Dec. 29.


Tennessee State

As of this afternoon, the Tennessee Department of Health (TDH) confirmed an additional 3,967 new cases of COVID-19 with the state total hitting 388,252. There are currently 2,476 hospitalizations (a net decrease of 2 since yesterday) and 4,781 deaths (up 93 in 24 hours ... a new single-day record) for a death rate of 1.23. Almost 4.6 million tests have been administered statewide (up 19,682 in 24 hours) with an alarming 19.99% positive rate for the day. The number of inactive/recovered cases statewide is 347,4112 as of this afternoon.

Sections: COVID